Financial Market Volatility and Investor Behavior: Evidence from the Indonesian Stock Exchange

Authors

  • Rika Novyta Sari Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Negeri Jakarta
  • Rajab Abdullah Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Negeri Jakarta

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37899/mjde.v2i3.229

Keywords:

Financial Market Volatility, Investor Behavior, Behavioral Finance, Indonesia

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between financial market volatility and investor behavior in the Indonesian Stock Exchange, with a focus on behavioral dimensions such as sentiment, risk perception, overconfidence, and herding. Using survey data from active investors and quantitative modeling, the research identifies how psychological and social factors interact with market structures in shaping volatility. The findings reveal that behavioral elements explain more than half of the variation in investor perceptions of volatility, with sentiment and herding showing the strongest effects. These results suggest that market fluctuations in Indonesia are not merely the outcome of economic fundamentals but are significantly influenced by retail-driven trading patterns and the accelerating role of digital platforms. The study contributes to behavioral finance literature by demonstrating the contextual relevance of biases in an emerging market setting, where institutional stabilization is relatively weak and cultural factors magnify collective tendencies. Practically, the results underscore the importance of enhancing financial literacy, regulating digital market ecosystems, and promoting more sustainable investment strategies to mitigate destabilizing behaviors. The study also highlights the need for future research that integrates behavioral insights with macroeconomic and political variables to achieve a more comprehensive understanding of volatility in emerging economies.

References

Agrawal, S. S., Sahai, K. P., & Gopal, J. V. (2024). Behavioral Finance and Market Anomalies: Explore How Cognitive Biases and Emotional Factors Influence Investor Behavior and Lead to Market Anomalies. Library of Progress-Library Science, Information Technology & Computer, 44(3). https://doi.org/10.48165/bapas.2024.44.2.1

Ainine Devara Nugroho, R. R. (2021). Determinant of Indonesian Stock Market’s Volatility During the Covid-19 Pandemic. Jurnal Keuangan Dan Perbankan, 25(1), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.26905/jkdp.v25i1.4980

Almansour, B. Y., Almansour, A. Y., Elkrghli, S., & Shojaei, S. A. (2025). The investment puzzle: unveiling behavioral finance, risk perception, and financial literacy. Economics-innovative and economics research journal, 13(1), 131-151. https://doi.org/10.2478/eoik-2025-0003?urlappend=%3Futm_source%3Dresearchgate

Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645–1680. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00885.x

Banerjee, A. V. (1992). A simple model of herd behavior. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 107(3), 797–817. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118364

Barber, B. M., & Odean, T. (2001). Boys will be boys: Gender, overconfidence, and common stock investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(1), 261–292. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355301556400

Berry, J. W. (1997). Immigration, acculturation, and adaptation. Applied Psychology, 46(1), 5–34. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1464-0597.1997.tb01087.x

Bianchi, S. M., Robinson, J. P., & Milkie, M. A. (2012). Changing rhythms of American family life. Russell Sage Foundation.

Chiang, T. C., & Zheng, D. (2010). An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets. Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1911–1921. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.12.014

Chowdhury, N. T., Mahdzan, N. S., & Rahman, M. (2024). Investors in the Bangladeshi stock market: issues, behavioural biases and circumvention strategies. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 16(5), 860-879. https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-09-2022-0164

Connell, R. W. (2005). Masculinities (2nd ed.). University of California Press.

Giddens, A. (2009). The transformation of intimacy: Sexuality, love, and eroticism in modern societies. Polity.

Glaser, M., & Weber, M. (2007). Overconfidence and trading volume. The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, 32(1), 1–36. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10713-007-0003-3

Goyal, P., Gupta, P., & Yadav, V. (2023). Antecedents to heuristics: decoding the role of herding and prospect theory for Indian millennial investors. Review of Behavioral Finance, 15(1), 79-102. https://doi.org/10.1108/RBF-04-2021-0073

Hall, S. (1996). Introduction: Who needs identity? In S. Hall & P. du Gay (Eds.), Questions of cultural identity (pp. 1–17). SAGE.

Harsono, P. H. P. (2025). The Investor's Uncertainty Experience in Facing Financial Market Volatility: A Subjective Perspective on Investment Decision-Making Amid Global Economic. Journal of Economic and Financial Studies, 1(1), 38-47.

Kandiyoti, D. (1988). Bargaining with patriarchy. Gender & Society, 2(3), 274–290. https://doi.org/10.1177/089124388002003004

Kusumah, R., & Permana, D. (2022). The influence of investor overconfidence on trading intensity in the Indonesian capital market. Journal of Indonesian Applied Economics, 14(1), 45–56. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jiae.2022.014.01.4

Lo, A. W. (2005). Reconciling efficient markets with behavioral finance: The adaptive markets hypothesis. The Journal of Investment Consulting, 7(2), 21–44. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.728864

Pratama, I., & Daryanto, W. M. (2017). Behavioral factors and their impact on investors’ decision-making in Indonesia stock exchange. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(1), 168–178.

Pratama, M. P. (2022). Assessing Financial Market Volatility: Multi-Dimensional Approaches on Indonesian Health Crisis Management. Sukuk: International Journal Of Banking, Finance, Management And Business, 1(I), 16-26.

Rizal, M., & Iramani, R. (2019). The effect of risk perception and risk tolerance on investment decisions. Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura, 22(2), 219–227. https://doi.org/10.14414/jebav.v22i2.1663

Sadewo, F. P., & Cahyaningdyah, D. (2022). Herding behavior in the Indonesian capital market: Evidence during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Economics and Business, 25(2), 155–168. https://doi.org/10.22146/jieb.74389

Saputra, R., & Rahmawati, N. (2021). Investor sentiment and stock return: Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Accounting and Investment, 22(1), 101–116. https://doi.org/10.18196/jai.v22i1.9604

Shiller, R. J. (2003). From efficient markets theory to behavioral finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83–104. https://doi.org/10.1257/089533003321164967

Slovic, P. (1987). Perception of risk. Science, 236(4799), 280–285. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.3563507

Tajfel, H., & Turner, J. C. (1979). An integrative theory of intergroup conflict. In W. G. Austin & S. Worchel (Eds.), The social psychology of intergroup relations (pp. 33–47). Brooks/Cole.

Umeaduma, C. M. G. (2024). Behavioral biases influencing individual investment decisions within volatile financial markets and economic cycles. Int J Eng Technol Res Manag, 8(03), 191.

Walby, S. (1990). Theorizing patriarchy. Basil Blackwell

Zafar, S., Ashraf, S., & Raza, T. (2024). The investment decision-making: understanding overconfidence, herding and risk aversion among individual investors. Journal of Social Sciences Development, 3(1), 32-44. https://doi.org/10.53664/JSSD/03-01-2024-03-32-44

Downloads

Published

2025-10-28